Published: Sat, October 20, 2018
Research | By Jody Lindsey

NOAA predicting mild winter in New England

NOAA predicting mild winter in New England

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center released its seasonal forecast on October 18, and the predictions are quite interesting. But there isn't anywhere in the country who are definitely due for a colder-than-normal winter.

During that time, an Arctic cold front will move across the US and produce bitter winds and a drop in the temperature over much of the U.S.

The organization's predictive maps placed ME in a sweeping band of orange, signifying that center forecasters believe the state is among those with a 40 percent to 50 percent chance of being "warmer than normal".

No place in the United States is expected to be colder than normal, said Mike Halpert, deputy director of the government's Climate Prediction Center.

Winter looks wet and especially mild for much of the country, thanks to a weak El Nino brewing, USA meteorologists said.

El Nino is an ocean-atmosphere climate interaction that is linked to periodic warming in sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific. Weather experts predict a warmer than normal winter in Kansas.

California is likely to see hotter-than-average winter temperatures, while parts of Southern California could also get greater precipitation, according to NOAA.

Warmer-than-normal conditions are anticipated across much of the northern and western US, with the greatest likelihood in Alaska and from the Pacific Northwest to the Northern Plains.

On its temperature forecast map, the Carolinas and much of the southeast and Mid-Atlantic are all colored white, while the rest of the country is cast in reds and oranges, since those areas are expected to be warmer.

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No part of the United States is expected to have below-average temperatures, according to the outlook. On Thursday, NOAA released their annual 2018-19 Winter Outlook.

Precipitation is expected to be above normal across the southern tier of the U.S., extending up into the Mid-Atlantic. Northern Florida and southern Georgia have the greatest odds for above-average precipitation during the winter, the NOAA said.

-Drier-than-average conditions are most likely in parts of the northern Rockies and Northern Plains, as well as in the Great Lakes and northern Ohio Valley.

But drought conditions are anticipated to improve in areas in Arizona and New Mexico, southern sections of Utah and Colorado, as well as the coastal Pacific Northwest and Central Plains, the agency said.

"Snow forecasts are generally not predictable more than a week in advance".

If the snowfall earlier this week reminded you how much you don't like the winter cold, you may be in luck.

Even so, it's no time to ditch the shovels and heavy winter jackets, with NOAA warning that its forecast does not mean the winter of 2018-2019 will not feature major snowstorms.

Keep your eyes peeled for the next NOAA update on November 15.

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