Published: Fri, September 14, 2018
People | By Leon Thompson

Tropical disturbance moving toward western Gulf of Mexico, not Florida

Tropical disturbance moving toward western Gulf of Mexico, not Florida

A tropical wave could strengthen as it churns through the Gulf of Mexico today, forecasters said.

Showers and thunderstorms over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and western Cuba, associated with a surface trough, are showing some signs of organization (marked as an orange "X" in the above map).

Upper-level winds aren't great for development at the moment, but as the system drifts northwestward, it'll gain energy from the warm Gulf waters and upper-level winds should become more conducive for tropical development.

A tropical storm may form off the Texas Gulf Coast by Friday, bringing heavy rains to areas already drenched in the past few weeks, US government and private forecasters said on Tuesday.

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Important to note is that this disturbance, now dubbed "Invest 95L" by the National Hurricane Center, is now nothing more than a disorganized cluster of showers and storms.

"We are closely monitoring a tropical system expected to approach the Gulf of Mexico and potentially impact the Texas coast in the coming days", Abbott said.

According to the National Hurricane Center, there is a 30% chance that Invest 95L forms into a tropical cyclone within 48 hours and a 50% chance of formation within the next 5 days.

Tropical models are trending towards to lower or middle Texas Coast for Friday evening.

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